PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dogepepeshiba

0xdb4eb99eafa8c8842cd879d5de9d0e60d54147f0

Realised P&L
$254.56
Volume
$5.16M
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$296.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1430.135$27.37$1.63
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1900.185$18.40$0.50
Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0420.045$15.91+$1.01
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.2300.305$15.25+$3.75
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1700.150$15.00$2.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1330.135$13.50+$0.20
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0470.045$12.60$0.56
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.111$12.12$3.21
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0910.075$11.27$2.36
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1150.105$10.50$1.00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1410.120$10.28$1.80
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0520.045$10.21$1.59
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0660.065$10.21$0.21
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1090.085$8.60$2.40
Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0970.085$8.50$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 09:23Will BP be acquired before 2027?SELL0.05$2.66
08-01 18:18Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.18$3.60
08-01 18:17Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.2590038202$13.00
08-01 18:14Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
08-01 18:13Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2754369004$6.00
08-01 18:12Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
07-31 15:22Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.135$8.10
07-31 15:19Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.1193730714$10.75
07-31 15:16Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.12$6.00
07-31 15:15Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?BUY0.209999974$5.00
07-31 15:11Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
07-30 21:49Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-30 21:49Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
07-30 21:48Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?BUY0.1354838523$6.00
07-30 21:42Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.13$12.93