dogepepeshiba
0xdb4eb99eafa8c8842cd879d5de9d0e60d54147f0
- Realised P&L
- $254.56
- Volume
- $5.16M
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $296.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.91at 0.001Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$109.89at 0.001Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$99.84at 0.001Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$74.95at 0.001Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$60.23at 0.001Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:23 | Will BP be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.66 |
| 08-01 18:18 | Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-01 18:17 | Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.2590038202 | $13.00 |
| 08-01 18:14 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 18:13 | Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2754369004 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 18:12 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 15:22 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.135 | $8.10 |
| 07-31 15:19 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1193730714 | $10.75 |
| 07-31 15:16 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 15:15 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 15:11 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 07-30 21:49 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 21:49 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 21:48 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1354838523 | $6.00 |
| 07-30 21:42 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $12.93 |