PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wirelesshead

0xdbdecd019f8e7b83116bb1fc2089011d389601c3

Realised P&L
$-876.87
Volume
$58.5k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$193.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1430.075$83.90$76.10
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0330.027$37.00$8.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1630.195$35.85+$5.85
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1300.055$29.70$40.30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0700.100$7.14+$2.14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$5.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.4780.000$0.00$95.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$80.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$210.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$45.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 05:58Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-22 05:57Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0369999965$10.00
07-19 20:09Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0412979351$10.00
07-19 15:16Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-12 07:38Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1431051861$20.00
07-12 06:46Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1301006315$10.00
07-12 06:45Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.089999996$20.00
07-09 13:06Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0254912683$10.00
07-09 13:05Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
07-09 13:05Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
07-08 13:55Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0319306466$5.00
07-08 13:55 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
07-03 08:12Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
07-02 19:40Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.16$10.00
07-02 19:39Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.08$10.00