wirelesshead
0xdbdecd019f8e7b83116bb1fc2089011d389601c3
- Realised P&L
- $-876.87
- Volume
- $58.5k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $193.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.075 | $83.90 | −$76.10 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.027 | $37.00 | −$8.00 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.195 | $35.85 | +$5.85 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.055 | $29.70 | −$40.30 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.100 | $7.14 | +$2.14 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes | 0.478 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$584.54at 0.467Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$300.25at 0.167Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$202.05at 0.261Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$181.46at 0.275US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$97.08at 0.390Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 05:58 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0412979351 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 15:16 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 07:38 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1431051861 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 06:46 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1301006315 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 06:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 13:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0254912683 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 13:05 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 13:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 13:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0319306466 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 13:55 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 08:12 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 19:40 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 19:39 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |