PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

krechel202

0xdc4e4465fd4682a6deb72ffccb6d016367ebe5b7

Realised P&L
$26.6k
Volume
$170.6k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies0.5701.000$7.0k+$3.0k
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9540.982$59.20+$1.66
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7900.881$17.63+$1.83
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.1300.010$10.00$120.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.0890.003$4.75$164.25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$178.00
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Pittsburgh Pirates0.5400.000$0.00$5.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 00:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.11$99.00
07-31 22:11Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.55$2.75
07-22 00:41Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.954$14.31
07-10 16:50Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.983$39.32
07-08 16:54Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.968$226.16
06-30 19:23Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.93$62.24
06-30 19:22Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.998$61.88
05-14 14:04Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.62$137.30
04-20 07:44US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.68$71.05
04-20 07:40Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.9$67.50
04-20 07:40Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.54$27.00
03-13 14:09Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.48$24.00
03-13 14:07Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.76$57.00
03-11 17:50Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$413.79
03-11 17:44Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$1.6k