PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Ternary

0xdcabd65b160955ca3979ce2be2e8476cb3594f1f

Realised P&L
$-654.94
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$336.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2020.055$336.79$901.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-03 23:44Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2021550844$1.2k
03-03 23:44Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.999$1.2k
02-28 19:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.8$991.29
01-27 12:37US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.4499999998$354.55
10-27 20:55Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.218287859$1000.00
09-22 17:45Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionBUY0.82$180.40
09-22 17:42Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.83$100.00
09-22 17:32Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?BUY0.83$498.00
09-22 17:31Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?BUY0.82$1.1k
09-22 17:23Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?BUY0.544158315$300.00
09-04 11:49Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?BUY0.7374729259$150.00
09-04 09:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8299999993$100.00
09-04 09:17Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.2532261983$200.00
09-04 09:15OpenAI browser by September 30?BUY0.7455149818$100.00
09-04 09:06US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?BUY0.2399999967$50.00