Time42
0xddaec85d92cd09e50c34e0751ad17915379752c4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $564.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $15.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.71at 0.153Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?
- +$63.32at 0.015Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$42.00at 0.160Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
- +$32.60at 0.140Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?
- +$17.78at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $12.89 |
| 08-01 19:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $8.06 |
| 08-01 19:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.004 | $25.98 |
| 08-01 19:08 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.30 |
| 08-01 19:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.75 |
| 07-26 16:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.60 |
| 07-26 16:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.93 |
| 07-26 16:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | SELL | 0.019 | $4.07 |
| 07-26 16:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.11 |
| 07-23 14:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.049 | $10.50 |
| 07-23 14:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.014 | $14.44 |
| 07-23 14:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.01976 | $9.88 |
| 07-23 14:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.042 | $12.22 |
| 07-23 13:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | SELL | 0.009 | $38.47 |
| 07-22 15:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.014814522 | $1.22 |