0xDef2a5D3AB3D39D8f8834D8C01c8CF955a65c543-1780171415262
0xdef2a5d3ab3d39d8f8834d8c01c8cf955a65c543
- Realised P&L
- $-438.47
- Volume
- $144.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $354.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.020Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
- +$655.39at 0.264Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
- +$570.95at 0.180Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$554.03at 0.152Harry Kane: 2+ goals
- +$533.93at 0.237Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:17 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.155224776 | $207.00 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.2075086743 | $170.00 |
| 07-14 19:26 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.12 | $150.00 |
| 07-14 19:25 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | SELL | 0.0229259984 | $159.07 |
| 07-11 23:49 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5099999971 | $65.01 |
| 07-11 23:16 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.14 | $68.57 |
| 07-11 23:04 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.5463291926 | $292.14 |
| 07-11 17:46 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $250.00 |
| 07-11 17:46 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $250.00 |
| 07-09 19:51 | Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.013 | $24.00 |
| 07-09 19:50 | Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0339999987 | $24.00 |
| 07-09 19:50 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0139999994 | $23.00 |
| 07-09 19:50 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0479999981 | $23.00 |
| 07-09 18:02 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $267.00 |
| 07-09 18:02 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.16 | $130.00 |