PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xDef2a5D3AB3D39D8f8834D8C01c8CF955a65c543-1780171415262

0xdef2a5d3ab3d39d8f8834d8c01c8cf955a65c543

Realised P&L
$-438.47
Volume
$144.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$354.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.1550.140$186.70$20.30
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.2070.205$167.94$2.05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$259.00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$195.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$39.00
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$150.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$60.00
Harry Kane: 1+ goals · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$250.00
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$65.01
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$114.00
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00$24.58
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$74.82
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$24.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? · No0.0820.000$0.00$299.99
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:17Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.155224776$207.00
08-02 14:17Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.2075086743$170.00
07-14 19:26Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY0.12$150.00
07-14 19:25Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELL0.0229259984$159.07
07-11 23:49Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.5099999971$65.01
07-11 23:16Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?SELL0.14$68.57
07-11 23:04Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.5463291926$292.14
07-11 17:46Harry Kane: 1+ goalsBUY0.4899999996$250.00
07-11 17:46Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsBUY0.4799999993$250.00
07-09 19:51Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.013$24.00
07-09 19:50Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.0339999987$24.00
07-09 19:50Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.0139999994$23.00
07-09 19:50Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.0479999981$23.00
07-09 18:02Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY0.5199999995$267.00
07-09 18:02Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY0.16$130.00