suyuchen696
0xdef996540909c99b4ef6971bb9690377d4ce964c
- Realised P&L
- $172.96
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 406
- Open portfolio
- $314.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded406
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.69at 0.127Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 26?
- +$103.44at 0.171Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?
- +$102.75at 0.185Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 28?
- +$78.88at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?
- +$76.23at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.20 |
| 08-01 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.30 |
| 07-31 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.5902319902 | $14.50 |
| 07-29 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.4240425532 | $19.93 |
| 07-29 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.6676698374 | $21.76 |
| 07-25 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $68.47 |
| 07-18 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.57 |
| 07-18 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.01 |
| 07-16 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-16 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 16? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-16 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.22 |