0xDf048fA19bF9c848B34cC40Ff36cCfF6370C11e3-1756619397959
0xdf048fa19bf9c848b34cc40ff36ccff6370c11e3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $638.3k
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $12.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.035Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$1.1kat 0.092Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
- +$1.1kat 0.071Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 11?
- +$757.80at 0.040Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 25?
- +$440.66at 0.133Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.23 | $25.46 |
| 08-02 12:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.035 | $17.50 |
| 08-02 06:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.37 |
| 08-02 06:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 23:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.10 |
| 08-01 20:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0612262748 | $3.50 |
| 08-01 16:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.045 | $18.00 |
| 08-01 16:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.017 | $16.10 |
| 08-01 16:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.032 | $27.81 |
| 07-30 11:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.039 | $2.40 |
| 07-30 01:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 29? | SELL | 0.06 | $33.95 |
| 07-29 18:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $37.89 |
| 07-29 18:15 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July? | SELL | 0.08 | $41.94 |
| 07-29 11:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.24 | $133.38 |
| 07-29 11:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.84 |