PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bahibahibahi

0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1

Realised P&L
$792.0k
Volume
$103.76M
Markets traded
1,195
Open portfolio
$836.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,195
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.9901.000$318.2k+$3.2k
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No0.9460.942$85.6k$367.39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7740.905$54.9k+$8.0k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9140.945$28.1k+$915.35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.7970.875$26.2k+$2.3k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9180.925$22.2k+$155.56
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9730.977$21.8k+$88.02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8370.855$19.8k+$422.55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9550.960$19.7k+$92.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8130.865$19.1k+$1.2k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.8290.957$16.7k+$2.2k
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · No0.8390.915$16.5k+$1.4k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8480.875$14.8k+$454.85
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.935$13.9k+$74.73
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8780.935$13.0k+$787.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:32US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.59$1.1k
08-02 17:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.5$300.68
08-02 16:15Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.659$65.90
08-02 14:40NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.956$6.8k
08-02 14:40NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.956$956.00
08-02 14:39NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.956$956.00
08-02 14:34US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?BUY0.98$29.89
08-02 03:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.67$224.50
08-02 03:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.66$170.63
08-02 03:34Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.96$2.4k
08-02 03:09Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.5938685228$401.01
08-02 03:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.54$197.54
08-02 03:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.48$0.76
08-02 02:23US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.6197447283$1.3k
08-01 19:25Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$3.29