bahibahibahi
0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1
- Realised P&L
- $792.0k
- Volume
- $103.76M
- Markets traded
- 1,195
- Open portfolio
- $836.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,195
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.4kat 0.485US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$162.6kat 0.001MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$76.9kat 0.039Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$74.9kat 0.710US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$54.3kat 0.002Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:32 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 17:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $300.68 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.659 | $65.90 |
| 08-02 14:40 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.956 | $6.8k |
| 08-02 14:40 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.956 | $956.00 |
| 08-02 14:39 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.956 | $956.00 |
| 08-02 14:34 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.89 |
| 08-02 03:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.67 | $224.50 |
| 08-02 03:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.66 | $170.63 |
| 08-02 03:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 03:09 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.5938685228 | $401.01 |
| 08-02 03:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $197.54 |
| 08-02 03:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.76 |
| 08-02 02:23 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6197447283 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 19:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.29 |