tm9jq9bzthz4
0xdf3f06b8d07d4a82e70ba41be063ab36f5a4b631
- Realised P&L
- $-20.08
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $723.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.76at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 1?
- +$34.68at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on July 29?
- +$23.12at 0.653Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 1?
- +$22.46at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?
- +$19.49at 0.274Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3499999761 | $5.85 |
| 08-03 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7288862244 | $54.71 |
| 08-03 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9013546622 | $17.38 |
| 08-02 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6999999983 | $82.79 |
| 08-02 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.03 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.74433591 | $21.18 |
| 08-02 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.219999977 | $6.88 |
| 08-02 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7305308729 | $14.18 |
| 08-02 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $8.81 |
| 08-02 22:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.96 |
| 08-02 22:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3824760127 | $10.70 |
| 08-02 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.45 |
| 08-02 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2212380289 | $2.02 |
| 08-02 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.4250505051 | $6.73 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.4448874172 | $6.72 |