slporc2
0xdf52a95d969fa0d233ed2f2009f11084532ab944
- Realised P&L
- $698.50
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$677.97at 0.228Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$596.38at 0.173Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$419.92at 0.492Will Biden finish his term?
- +$133.94at 0.599Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
- +$92.25at 0.727Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 20:48 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1059999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 20:45 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 20:45 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2907161533 | $250.00 |
| 07-06 20:44 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5181164795 | $250.00 |
| 03-13 14:06 | Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.29 | $31.90 |
| 03-13 14:06 | Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.016 | $11.37 |
| 01-12 11:44 | Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0703594045 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 11:37 | Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.21 | $46.67 |
| 12-20 18:31 | Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 12-20 14:53 | Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.179006502 | $10.00 |
| 12-20 14:53 | Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4545454545 | $50.00 |
| 12-20 14:53 | Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0083847911 | $2.50 |
| 12-20 14:52 | Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0221339623 | $10.00 |
| 12-20 14:51 | Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1465408406 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 20:48 | Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |