PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

slporc2

0xdf52a95d969fa0d233ed2f2009f11084532ab944

Realised P&L
$698.50
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2910.320$275.18+$25.18
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5180.500$241.26$8.74
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1060.146$138.21+$38.21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5600.460$123.08$26.92
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.135$90.00$10.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1700.146$86.18$13.82
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.086$85.50+$35.50
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50–59? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$100.00
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.50
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.2950.000$0.00$100.00
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$20.00
Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40–49? · Yes0.2390.000$0.00$5.00
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.1790.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 20:48Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1059999991$100.00
07-06 20:45Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
07-06 20:45Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2907161533$250.00
07-06 20:44Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5181164795$250.00
03-13 14:06Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.29$31.90
03-13 14:06Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.016$11.37
01-12 11:44Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0703594045$50.00
01-12 11:37Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.21$46.67
12-20 18:31Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.089999996$20.00
12-20 14:53Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.179006502$10.00
12-20 14:53Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.4545454545$50.00
12-20 14:53Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0083847911$2.50
12-20 14:52Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0221339623$10.00
12-20 14:51Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.1465408406$20.00
07-23 20:48Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?BUY0.8099999977$50.00