ToTheWindow
0xdf903ee52261f475ee5a02f9189acdb7cdba41f0
- Realised P&L
- $33.0k
- Volume
- $1.46M
- Markets traded
- 271
- Open portfolio
- $594.59
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded271
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.0kat 0.010Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$3.3kat 0.003Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$2.1kat 0.154Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.693Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.408Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $191.66 |
| 08-02 05:25 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.2290243694 | $321.04 |
| 08-01 05:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 05:02 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.2921887624 | $206.86 |
| 07-31 23:01 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.3299999994 | $250.00 |
| 07-31 22:04 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3795142214 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 22:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.44 |
| 07-31 21:58 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.232553917 | $1.3k |
| 07-31 12:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.3986615369 | $522.25 |
| 07-31 12:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.24 | $350.00 |
| 07-31 10:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 10:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2399999994 | $250.00 |
| 07-31 10:07 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 10:06 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 10:05 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $250.00 |