Loigc
0xdfb539382fd39d17321110ad568a564c1e978bd4
- Realised P&L
- $-321.89
- Volume
- $573.6k
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.003Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$2.8kat 0.030MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$2.4kat 0.607LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$1.8kat 0.272MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$1.8kat 0.223StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 02:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.06 |
| 06-12 03:43 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 04-08 00:04 | Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $13.20 |
| 04-08 00:02 | Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.89 |
| 04-05 04:49 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $65.87 |
| 03-21 09:02 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.41 |
| 03-21 09:02 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23? | BUY | 0.0589639789 | $8.51 |
| 03-14 11:40 | Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.66 |
| 03-14 10:01 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.052282728 | $9.43 |
| 03-14 10:00 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $159.99 |
| 03-14 09:55 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | SELL | 0.0296993007 | $2.12 |
| 03-14 09:54 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? | SELL | 0.0481702703 | $1.78 |
| 03-14 09:48 | Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | SELL | 0.8429272112 | $495.30 |
| 03-14 09:46 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.9134043759 | $7.1k |
| 03-10 01:59 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.913 | $104.08 |