PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Loigc

0xdfb539382fd39d17321110ad568a564c1e978bd4

Realised P&L
$-321.89
Volume
$573.6k
Markets traded
245
Open portfolio
$8.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded245
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 02:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?SELL0.89$8.06
06-12 03:43Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?SELL0.09$4.50
04-08 00:04Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?BUY0.88$13.20
04-08 00:02Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?BUY0.89$8.89
04-05 04:49Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.988$65.87
03-21 09:02Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?BUY0.06$1.41
03-21 09:02Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?BUY0.0589639789$8.51
03-14 11:40Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?SELL0.018$1.66
03-14 10:01Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.052282728$9.43
03-14 10:00Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$159.99
03-14 09:55Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?SELL0.0296993007$2.12
03-14 09:54Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?SELL0.0481702703$1.78
03-14 09:48Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?SELL0.8429272112$495.30
03-14 09:46Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.9134043759$7.1k
03-10 01:59Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.913$104.08