grobobobo
0xdfb58216d2b135bb6ec7cea4170a19ce65483d34
- Realised P&L
- $-981.51
- Volume
- $185.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $3.3k | −$250.00 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.009 | $1.3k | −$730.97 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.019 | $9.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $4.58 | −$0.42 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0192401858 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:26 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.5k |
| 08-02 15:21 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.0322939553 | $853.05 |
| 08-02 15:20 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01252369 | $246.19 |
| 08-02 15:20 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $129.45 |
| 08-02 15:20 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.0100631797 | $771.31 |
| 08-02 14:18 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $8.87 |