PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xDFCA4EE98374F62A1D4985aC9272260e09BA645a-1775178905321

0xdfca4ee98374f62a1d4985ac9272260e09ba645a

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
1,518
Open portfolio
$125.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,518
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0370.017$87.36$110.72
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3? · Yes0.3580.355$19.17$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 3? · Yes0.4600.425$6.38$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.2770.270$4.05$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3? · Yes0.4630.475$3.34+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3? · Yes0.3490.390$2.73+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes0.2780.200$2.00$0.78
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.1400.015$0.13$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 12? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 19? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.54
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 12? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.89
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 16? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.06
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? · No0.8400.000$0.00$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on April 18? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$5.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 3?BUY0.46$6.90
08-03 07:55Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?SELL0.518$5.18
08-03 07:55Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?SELL0.51$2.55
08-03 07:45Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.36$6.48
08-03 07:45Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.36$2.33
08-03 07:45Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.36$6.48
08-03 07:27Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.35$3.50
08-03 05:58Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3?SELL0.13$0.52
08-03 05:58Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.4$1.16
08-03 05:36Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.03$0.33
08-03 05:16Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.51$3.06
08-03 05:16Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.51$4.59
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.31$1.86
08-03 03:47Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3?SELL0.13$0.78
08-03 02:58Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.28$2.24