PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

alexludoman

0xe1173c89e54a444c355f928031aadbbc0bdfb4e7

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$267.3k
Markets traded
2,170
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,170
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3420.295$1.4k$222.65
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4310.365$1.3k$233.11
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8920.915$1.2k+$30.32
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · No0.6900.845$339.04+$62.28
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.5820.745$219.77+$48.02
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5680.565$203.36$1.24
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0260.022$178.75$30.50
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.5740.685$176.26+$28.62
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9300.931$130.41+$0.17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8540.915$115.29+$7.69
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1690.205$114.03+$20.09
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0530.044$111.52$24.01
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? · Yes0.6520.630$99.99$3.45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.925$92.50+$1.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.445$89.00+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:10Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.24$14.40
08-03 01:09Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.23$2.77
08-03 01:08Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.58$116.00
08-02 13:47Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
08-02 13:45Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?BUY0.15$1.33
08-02 13:45Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?BUY0.14$17.65
08-02 13:42Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?BUY0.67$32.83
08-02 11:34Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.19$6.65
08-02 04:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.18$18.00
08-02 04:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.18$18.00
08-01 17:48Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in August?BUY0.24$7.20
08-01 17:47Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?BUY0.68$6.61
08-01 13:34Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.75$7.04
08-01 13:34Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.75$7.02
08-01 13:27Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$91.00