alexludoman
0xe1173c89e54a444c355f928031aadbbc0bdfb4e7
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $267.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,170
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,170
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.501Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$669.91at 0.519Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$414.95at 0.143Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$344.36at 0.474Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
- +$337.89at 0.406MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:10 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $14.40 |
| 08-03 01:09 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.77 |
| 08-03 01:08 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 08-02 13:47 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 08-02 13:45 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.33 |
| 08-02 13:45 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $17.65 |
| 08-02 13:42 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? | BUY | 0.67 | $32.83 |
| 08-02 11:34 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.65 |
| 08-02 04:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 08-02 04:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in August? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 08-01 17:47 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.61 |
| 08-01 13:34 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.04 |
| 08-01 13:34 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.02 |
| 08-01 13:27 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |