0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771
0xe172412ca65dd142ff035630cc2945adec8d248a
- Realised P&L
- $943.60
- Volume
- $282.0k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.416Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
- +$928.75at 0.522 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
- +$815.20at 0.495Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
- +$396.15at 0.070Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?
- +$368.78at 0.720Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:51 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 14:50 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $700.00 |
| 08-02 14:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.54 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 14:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.1391118399 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 12:25 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0066103562 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 08:10 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0046985158 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 07:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 19:15 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0449541486 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 19:13 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0830000001 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 19:11 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0790167642 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 18:56 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 18:56 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0358149561 | $200.00 |
| 07-26 18:55 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0945284566 | $400.00 |
| 07-21 12:53 | US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0222554955 | $20.56 |