amt4532
0xe1e3bd0956da3729037e721ce35eae2fd8c7fad8
- Realised P&L
- $-21.8k
- Volume
- $66.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-32.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.522 | 0.075 | $3.3k | −$20.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-22.86at 0.140Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
- +$-30.13at 0.205Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$-1.8kat 0.631Will the US strike Iran next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-17 20:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $1.3k |
| 01-14 20:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.3k |
| 01-13 20:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2199999988 | $141.48 |
| 01-13 20:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $137.14 |
| 01-13 20:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2199999993 | $190.00 |
| 01-13 20:56 | Will the US strike Iran next? | SELL | 0.0590308563 | $187.20 |
| 01-13 18:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.1399999994 | $160.00 |
| 01-13 18:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5498753398 | $15.0k |
| 01-13 18:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.5k |
| 01-13 18:34 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.6306855315 | $2.0k |
| 01-10 19:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.465440202 | $3.5k |
| 01-10 19:00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.0k |