PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

amt4532

0xe1e3bd0956da3729037e721ce35eae2fd8c7fad8

Realised P&L
$-21.8k
Volume
$66.3k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-32.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5220.075$3.3k$20.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-17 20:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3899999999$1.3k
01-14 20:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.2$1.3k
01-13 20:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2199999988$141.48
01-13 20:57Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?SELL0.12$137.14
01-13 20:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2199999993$190.00
01-13 20:56Will the US strike Iran next?SELL0.0590308563$187.20
01-13 18:50Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.1399999994$160.00
01-13 18:45Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5498753398$15.0k
01-13 18:35Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.54$3.5k
01-13 18:34Will the US strike Iran next?BUY0.6306855315$2.0k
01-10 19:00Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.465440202$3.5k
01-10 19:00Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2$1.0k