PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rocky42011

0xe1f16e2f82deeca14603e4fcc20b90a4f2aa3a05

Realised P&L
$16.6k
Volume
$8.52M
Markets traded
5,145
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,145
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.9760.999$297.62+$6.85
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2300.235$265.97+$5.66
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · No0.5780.545$212.48$13.03
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes0.9100.935$156.87+$4.19
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? · No0.9581.000$135.66+$5.63
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · No0.4760.440$131.92$10.75
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · No0.3790.375$121.65$1.26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.1280.125$105.97$2.44
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4500.535$90.95+$14.45
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1420.075$81.84$72.91
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.270$80.94$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? · No0.3960.410$73.37+$2.58
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · Yes0.1840.215$63.66+$9.08
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.1750.120$57.96$26.58
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0470.038$48.10$10.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:31Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.93$4.81
08-02 00:27Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?SELL0.55$12.10
08-01 00:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 2?BUY0.07$0.35
07-31 12:21Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.174$3.13
07-31 05:35Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.25$24.00
07-31 03:30Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.91$63.70
07-31 03:25Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.93$27.90
07-31 02:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?SELL0.6$3.00
07-30 23:16Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.363$25.77
07-30 23:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 31?SELL0.22$3.08
07-30 23:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?SELL0.53$20.14
07-30 18:31Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.429$10.72
07-30 17:44Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.6$38.40
07-30 09:40Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.631$6.94
07-30 08:54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.64$19.20