rocky42011
0xe1f16e2f82deeca14603e4fcc20b90a4f2aa3a05
- Realised P&L
- $16.6k
- Volume
- $8.52M
- Markets traded
- 5,145
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,145
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.175Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?
- +$1.3kat 0.362Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
- +$1.3kat 0.251Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
- +$1.3kat 0.252Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.043Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.81 |
| 08-02 00:27 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.55 | $12.10 |
| 08-01 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 07-31 12:21 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.174 | $3.13 |
| 07-31 05:35 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $24.00 |
| 07-31 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $63.70 |
| 07-31 03:25 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 07-31 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 23:16 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.363 | $25.77 |
| 07-30 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.08 |
| 07-30 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $20.14 |
| 07-30 18:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.429 | $10.72 |
| 07-30 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $38.40 |
| 07-30 09:40 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.631 | $6.94 |
| 07-30 08:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $19.20 |