Rurik5
0xe25c28438f4f51bf12efed21efd45f33d8cfae63
- Realised P&L
- $26.9k
- Volume
- $5.81M
- Markets traded
- 1,920
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,920
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.554Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$2.4kat 0.260Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.3kat 0.740Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$1.6kat 0.793Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.400Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 07-19 19:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3975 | $19.67 |
| 07-19 17:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4125 | $21.25 |
| 07-19 17:59 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.71 |
| 07-19 17:56 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $48.64 |
| 07-16 10:45 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.23 | $18.74 |
| 07-16 10:44 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.0159830673 | $5.12 |
| 07-16 10:43 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.017 | $9.19 |
| 07-16 10:43 | Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.016 | $10.74 |
| 07-12 19:57 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | SELL | 0.0873499 | $17.47 |
| 07-10 21:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.376 | $37.60 |
| 07-10 21:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.179 | $17.90 |
| 07-10 20:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $19.70 |
| 07-08 15:02 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.059 | $5.51 |
| 07-07 09:42 | Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.172 | $18.60 |