center.gitlab
0xe372051ab9cb16397bcfa85fbb203acc280e2d51
- Realised P&L
- $768.78
- Volume
- $165.6k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.570 | 1.000 | $1.8k | +$754.17 |
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | 0.450 | 0.600 | $17.64 | +$4.41 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.439 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$584.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.445 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.42 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$470.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Saitama Seibu Lions | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.44 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Chicago White Sox | 0.396 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies · Kansas City Royals | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.382Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$3.9kat 0.316Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.4kat 0.204Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.3kat 0.625Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$2.0kat 0.350Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:51 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.559999995 | $45.00 |
| 08-02 15:49 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 08-02 15:34 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 06:00 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers | BUY | 0.6 | $150.00 |
| 08-02 05:59 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Chunichi Dragons | BUY | 0.4899999977 | $19.04 |
| 08-02 04:46 | Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $150.00 |
| 08-02 04:45 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.6299999971 | $75.00 |
| 08-02 04:10 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.3899999979 | $65.00 |
| 08-02 04:09 | Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $134.00 |
| 08-02 04:07 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.3899999939 | $34.01 |
| 08-02 04:06 | Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars | BUY | 0.4699999908 | $18.42 |
| 08-02 03:46 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $85.00 |
| 08-02 03:03 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines | BUY | 0.4099999813 | $11.65 |
| 08-02 02:39 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 02:38 | Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars | BUY | 0.5299999975 | $50.16 |