PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hr26g2re62de

0xe38144dd45632a9f59fe210038f8c0e99de13ba9

Realised P&L
$11.7k
Volume
$1.53M
Markets traded
5,876
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,876
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7190.845$232.38+$34.53
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5870.973$226.59+$89.88
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6270.948$206.56+$69.85
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6200.885$198.44+$59.48
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6840.860$185.81+$38.07
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? · No0.1850.195$185.67+$9.72
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4780.825$167.47+$70.42
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5790.815$161.35+$46.64
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5840.930$151.59+$56.42
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4860.820$144.32+$58.83
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4940.870$142.68+$61.68
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4750.900$131.26+$61.97
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? · Yes0.0680.048$118.94$49.61
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.5150.540$113.40+$5.20
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5430.885$109.74+$42.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:07Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?SELL0.4704108182$137.41
08-03 00:37Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.3342433043$10.36
08-03 00:36Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.1802424849$183.60
08-03 00:29Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?BUY0.4328645087$151.11
08-03 00:17Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?SELL0.07$7.00
08-03 00:16Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?SELL0.0337142857$5.90
08-03 00:07Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?SELL0.1120836738$76.81
08-02 22:53Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?SELL0.131$9.17
08-02 22:31Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?BUY0.168$1.68
08-02 22:27Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?BUY0.157$3.14
08-02 22:26Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?BUY0.149$2.98
08-02 22:26Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?BUY0.0750627059$84.07
08-02 19:58Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?SELL0.2160933209$225.21
08-02 19:23Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?BUY0.239$28.68
08-02 19:23Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?BUY0.237$7.11