PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Dcgunduz

0xe3d05d82e05da2b888752dbd2e028e63c09b4e7d

Realised P&L
$491.12
Volume
$154.0k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$821.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3620.365$521.34+$4.16
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5100.540$162.15+$9.15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.445$89.00$13.00
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.6000.222$18.46$31.54
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.7000.155$15.50$54.50
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3000.360$12.00+$2.00
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.004$1.75$3.25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.4400.155$1.55$2.85
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$20.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$30.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$52.30
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$110.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 05:08Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.198$340.03
07-11 06:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1789999994$200.00
07-11 06:23Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$350.28
07-06 11:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.128$76.80
07-06 11:21Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.167$100.20
05-23 08:13Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?BUY0.61$27.45
04-20 10:14Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$5.00
04-14 17:03Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.299999982$10.00
04-13 06:51Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.988$139.15
04-10 13:24Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.709999998$100.00
04-10 11:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1549999975$50.00
04-10 11:49Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$20.00
04-10 11:48Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0859999975$30.00
04-08 02:02Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?SELL0.149845323$22.48
04-07 22:06US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?SELL0.363697$181.85