Dcgunduz
0xe3d05d82e05da2b888752dbd2e028e63c09b4e7d
- Realised P&L
- $491.12
- Volume
- $154.0k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $821.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$662.10at 0.481Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$259.74at 0.317Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$255.00at 0.150Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?
- +$248.46at 0.387Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$219.24at 0.590Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 05:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.198 | $340.03 |
| 07-11 06:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1789999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 06:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $350.28 |
| 07-06 11:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.128 | $76.80 |
| 07-06 11:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.167 | $100.20 |
| 05-23 08:13 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $27.45 |
| 04-20 10:14 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 17:03 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 06:51 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.988 | $139.15 |
| 04-10 13:24 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 04-10 11:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1549999975 | $50.00 |
| 04-10 11:49 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 04-10 11:48 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0859999975 | $30.00 |
| 04-08 02:02 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | SELL | 0.149845323 | $22.48 |
| 04-07 22:06 | US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | SELL | 0.363697 | $181.85 |