siralt
0xe42f020e52f76faee41677ec8d0fa529b1a8be79
- Realised P&L
- $-726.98
- Volume
- $87.8k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $115.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.125 | $64.00 | −$121.22 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.081 | $51.11 | −$76.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.37at 0.998Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?
- +$100.42at 0.959Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
- +$49.00at 0.510Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$43.00at 0.733Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$40.01at 0.916Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 10:34 | Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.101 | $5.05 |
| 03-11 09:59 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.907 | $24.96 |
| 03-11 09:10 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.6559739837 | $100.86 |
| 03-11 01:45 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 03-11 01:45 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $22.96 |
| 03-11 01:43 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.55 |
| 03-04 05:32 | Will "Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.45 |
| 03-04 05:32 | Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.74 | $11.24 |
| 03-04 05:31 | Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.58 |
| 03-04 02:42 | Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $23.74 |
| 02-28 10:51 | Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.0136515198 | $1.34 |
| 02-27 02:50 | Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.048 | $10.08 |
| 02-27 02:49 | Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.969 | $48.45 |
| 02-27 02:49 | Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.968 | $38.72 |
| 02-26 09:22 | Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.061 | $2.32 |