fi5h
0xe450d771caa532822ccd55d5b8ce09e188fe91b9
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $93.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,016
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,016
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.40at 0.921Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
- +$140.22at 0.206Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$137.48at 0.970Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$132.98at 0.602Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
- +$126.71at 0.770Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:23 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.384 | $7.68 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.416 | $4.16 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 15:06 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-02 14:19 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.21 | $37.80 |
| 08-02 06:20 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 08-02 05:49 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.379 | $3.79 |
| 08-02 05:01 | Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.08 |
| 08-02 04:56 | Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.04 |
| 08-02 04:54 | Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 08-02 04:52 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |