Jpegpeddler
0xe50b63086d0015f04478ce3266c913b96c9a8bde
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $293.7k
- Markets traded
- 491
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded491
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.1102024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$792.48at 0.028Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$630.72at 0.560Will another candidate win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$588.00at 0.412Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$394.37at 0.230U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 07:03 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 03-31 17:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.71 |
| 01-20 16:18 | Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 12-20 17:01 | U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 12-20 16:47 | U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | SELL | 0.88 | $142.74 |
| 12-20 16:46 | U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | SELL | 0.89 | $389.62 |
| 12-14 15:00 | Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 12-14 13:32 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14? | BUY | 0.23 | $55.20 |
| 12-14 13:31 | Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $28.60 |
| 12-14 13:30 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 12-14 07:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 12-13 16:22 | Army vs. Navy | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 11-20 15:40 | Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025? | BUY | 0.95 | $32.30 |
| 11-09 16:10 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.92 |
| 10-27 11:14 | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1817460317 | $22.90 |