PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

macann

0xe5554c0ddb96628641f079edb419fb47fb2ea91d

Realised P&L
$12.1k
Volume
$3.36M
Markets traded
403
Open portfolio
$376.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded403
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2200.275$275.00+$55.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0580.083$99.89+$29.52
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0000.054$1.64+$1.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.0610.000$0.00$30.70
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.2770.000$0.00$111.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 14? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$55.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$89.49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$4.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00$54.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.0210.000$0.00$3.15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0589430466$59.48
08-02 15:09US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.22$31.81
07-17 01:00Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.19$38.00
07-17 00:58Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.2$23.60
07-17 00:58Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.19$4.92
07-17 00:58Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.16359375$10.47
07-17 00:54Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.13$88.53
07-13 18:53US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?BUY0.22$6.60
07-13 18:20Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.25$3.00
07-13 18:19Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.3139087474$795.81
07-13 16:47Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.36$5.05
07-07 18:52Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.235$42.28
07-07 18:46Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.28$203.69
07-07 18:46Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.28$148.40
07-07 18:37Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.301$452.21