Noahrichards98
0xe57ab8ec1bd537476c1986e9768fbbc2ec99e196
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $117.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $23.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.915 | $9.0k | +$245.39 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.545 | $5.5k | −$1.3k |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.485 | 0.710 | $4.6k | +$1.5k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes | 0.852 | 0.885 | $3.0k | +$110.72 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.626 | 0.645 | $1.7k | +$50.74 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.718Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$883.67at 0.870Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
- +$659.44at 0.798Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$653.38at 0.884SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
- +$644.20at 0.656Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 19:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.8524543096 | $2.9k |
| 07-31 18:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9979534448 | $2.9k |
| 07-30 14:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2469331275 | $718.12 |
| 07-30 14:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $372.17 |
| 07-30 14:07 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.2005343789 | $364.42 |
| 07-28 11:39 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6260728 | $1.7k |
| 07-28 11:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.1959811468 | $897.51 |
| 07-28 11:38 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $838.67 |
| 07-23 15:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8725130781 | $4.0k |
| 07-22 18:05 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6630722868 | $1000.00 |
| 07-22 18:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6580280676 | $2.0k |
| 07-14 14:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6797164038 | $1.2k |
| 07-03 20:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $9.1k |
| 07-01 17:09 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.5899999973 | $200.00 |
| 06-30 22:30 | Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9946472978 | $3.3k |