Okletsgoo
0xe5ebda971f33f3eec5f4a1f6b77553c698aa1bd3
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $235.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $10.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.632 | 0.555 | $10.5k | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.708Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.529Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.310Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$624.48at 0.855Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$421.78at 0.880Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 11:22 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.5k |
| 04-01 13:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.965 | $5.5k |
| 03-18 09:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 16-22? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.0k |
| 03-17 02:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 16-22? | SELL | 0.68 | $403.17 |
| 03-17 02:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 16-22? | BUY | 0.68 | $398.34 |
| 03-17 00:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.3k |
| 03-09 00:40 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84513849 | $3.4k |
| 03-04 08:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5895736349 | $698.59 |
| 02-02 06:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.95 |
| 01-26 07:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 01-26 06:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8801567241 | $510.49 |
| 01-03 07:56 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.1k |
| 01-03 07:56 | Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.3949118129 | $1.8k |
| 12-03 14:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 12-01 14:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7495645161 | $23.24 |