0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
- Realised P&L
- $-48.4k
- Volume
- $7.15M
- Markets traded
- 1,593
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,593
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.862S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?
- +$6.9kat 0.922Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$5.8kat 0.080Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$5.0kat 0.853Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.963Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.9788702773 | $3.0k |
| 07-30 17:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.9688552698 | $2.5k |
| 07-30 17:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.9980553937 | $3.0k |
| 07-30 17:03 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? | SELL | 0.100889429 | $281.42 |
| 07-29 15:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.4269087982 | $1.3k |
| 07-23 15:23 | Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9014863626 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 15:19 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9888791984 | $1000.00 |
| 07-23 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | BUY | 0.987991113 | $2.0k |
| 07-23 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $2.5k |
| 07-22 15:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.9824487134 | $2.0k |
| 07-21 16:14 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? | BUY | 0.7169918208 | $2.0k |
| 07-21 09:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21? | BUY | 0.8530799011 | $2.0k |
| 07-21 09:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21? | BUY | 0.8496211292 | $3.0k |
| 07-20 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.9960418077 | $2.0k |
| 07-20 11:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.9879078995 | $2.5k |