PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe63e7bea9be3a8b3e4b965d7c8afd295583b3204

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$24.3k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$9.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.1161.000$3.6k+$3.2k
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes0.2111.000$846.59+$668.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5301.000$360.87+$169.51
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? · Yes0.2371.000$274.41+$209.40
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5080.500$242.85$3.89
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No0.4990.500$214.63+$0.45
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? · No0.5301.000$206.45+$97.03
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.4990.500$182.15+$0.37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1900.145$174.24$54.07
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$167.40+$0.00
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$167.04$6.68
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5500.635$162.32+$21.73
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · No0.6991.000$149.57+$45.03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5400.555$148.48+$4.01
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · No0.5541.000$117.31+$52.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 10:32Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.55$127.15
06-01 10:32Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.201$7.38
06-01 10:32Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.62$49.51
06-01 10:32Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.53$42.64
06-01 10:32Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.19$206.47
06-01 10:31Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.244$42.50
06-01 10:31Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.25$151.46
06-01 10:31Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.52$157.11
06-01 10:31Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8$42.64
06-01 10:31Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.12$0.57
06-01 10:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.716$42.64
06-01 10:31Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?BUY0.14$112.07
06-01 10:31Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY0.52$32.66
06-01 10:31Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.86$42.64
06-01 10:31Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?BUY0.71$42.64