0xe63e7bea9be3a8b3e4b965d7c8afd295583b3204
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.91at 0.800Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
- +$-4.70at 0.539Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 10:32 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.55 | $127.15 |
| 06-01 10:32 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.201 | $7.38 |
| 06-01 10:32 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.62 | $49.51 |
| 06-01 10:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.53 | $42.64 |
| 06-01 10:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.19 | $206.47 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.244 | $42.50 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $151.46 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.52 | $157.11 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $42.64 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.57 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.716 | $42.64 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $112.07 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $32.66 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.86 | $42.64 |
| 06-01 10:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.71 | $42.64 |