0xe7d1fa78b83bf480b8469dd607e2d37504fde74a
- Realised P&L
- $-27.69
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $41.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59at 0.430Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 2?
- +$0.24at 0.960Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
- +$0.24at 0.960Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
- +$0.23at 0.960Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
- +$0.20at 0.960Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 03:55 | Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.39 |
| 07-04 23:55 | Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency? | BUY | 0.9989998619 | $4.39 |
| 07-03 03:55 | Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.41 |
| 07-02 23:57 | GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.40 |
| 07-01 21:01 | Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.41 |
| 07-01 11:58 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30? | BUY | 0.9979999258 | $4.41 |
| 06-30 23:55 | Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.44 |
| 06-30 16:57 | Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.42 |
| 06-30 11:55 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998721 | $4.43 |
| 06-29 11:58 | Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m? | BUY | 0.998 | $0.36 |
| 06-26 23:55 | Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9889999978 | $4.42 |
| 06-25 15:55 | Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.43 |
| 06-25 05:55 | Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.42 |
| 06-22 16:55 | Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.39 |
| 06-19 16:55 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $4.44 |