PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe7d1fa78b83bf480b8469dd607e2d37504fde74a

Realised P&L
$-27.69
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
520
Open portfolio
$41.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded520
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$4.50$0.12
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.972$4.49$0.13
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.972$4.49$0.13
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9991.000$4.43+$0.00
Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02? · No0.9950.986$4.42$0.04
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026? · Yes0.9900.985$4.39$0.02
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.943$4.36$0.26
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.941$4.35$0.27
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.935$4.32$0.30
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.340$1.57$3.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00$4.79
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? · No0.9990.000$0.00$5.87
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$4.69
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00$5.83
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels · UNLV Runnin Rebels0.9900.000$0.00$4.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 03:55Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 5?BUY0.999$4.39
07-04 23:55Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?BUY0.9989998619$4.39
07-03 03:55Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?BUY0.999$4.41
07-02 23:57GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?BUY0.994$4.40
07-01 21:01Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?BUY0.99$4.41
07-01 11:58Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?BUY0.9979999258$4.41
06-30 23:55Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$4.44
06-30 16:57Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?BUY0.998$4.42
06-30 11:55Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9989998721$4.43
06-29 11:58Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?BUY0.998$0.36
06-26 23:55Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9889999978$4.42
06-25 15:55Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?BUY0.99$4.43
06-25 05:55Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?BUY0.999$4.42
06-22 16:55Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?BUY0.995$4.39
06-19 16:55Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?BUY0.9789999996$4.44