PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

elchinitofrank

0xe7f7e2d3d4d0e164239f3cc30a7928f4209de73b

Realised P&L
$7.3k
Volume
$797.5k
Markets traded
1,266
Open portfolio
$493.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,266
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2560.192$153.20$51.29
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.011$115.00$55.00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7550.809$80.95+$5.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.095$47.50$42.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8340.945$35.45+$4.18
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.036$33.94+$7.90
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0130.013$17.05$0.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2430.155$5.81$3.31
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? · Yes0.9700.681$3.40$1.44
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1400.025$1.27$5.73
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$10.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.2820.000$0.00$740.32
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$39.06
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.3930.000$0.00$118.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:02Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.9714260927$146.69
07-18 22:46France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.7119999635$15.00
07-18 22:41France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.5639999653$5.00
07-18 22:38France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.53$7.95
07-18 22:38France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.529$18.52
07-18 22:13France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.915$45.74
07-18 22:11Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.7$105.89
07-18 21:54Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.28$11.71
07-18 21:27France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.69$345.00
07-16 21:17Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.37$377.77
07-15 21:07Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.997$49.85
07-15 21:06Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.996$49.80
07-15 21:06Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.996$99.60
07-15 21:06Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.997$49.85
07-15 21:05Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$50.00