PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pogispog

0xe90a1d76243084d9deeb3f049d8e2ce1102806b7

Realised P&L
$-402.89
Volume
$153.6k
Markets traded
423
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded423
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8380.815$651.59$18.37
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.7830.810$253.67+$8.42
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? · No0.8670.895$251.39+$7.75
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7810.830$199.99+$11.77
Will gas hit $2.50 (Low) by August 31? · No0.9460.956$114.66+$1.16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5520.545$100.90$1.37
Will the Green Party (MP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.9690.985$63.14+$1.03
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9950.997$59.79+$0.09
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.1640.145$49.30$6.30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2270.236$25.96+$1.00
The Polymarket Classic: Winner · John/Paige0.9220.986$24.64+$1.60
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1510.155$17.05+$0.45
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? · Yes0.9210.990$10.00+$0.70
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.4800.800$4.00+$1.60
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9000.940$3.06+$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:37Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.16$4.80
08-03 06:37Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.239$7.17
08-02 21:27Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?BUY0.27$1.35
08-02 17:56Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.82$8.20
08-02 16:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.55$13.75
08-02 16:59Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.24$6.00
08-02 16:59Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.16$4.00
08-02 16:58Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.16$0.80
08-02 16:58Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.24$1.20
08-02 16:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.55$2.75
08-01 19:27The Polymarket Classic: WinnerBUY0.94$9.39
08-01 19:23The Polymarket Classic: WinnerBUY0.91$9.10
08-01 19:20The Polymarket Classic: WinnerBUY0.91$4.55
08-01 19:16The Polymarket Classic: WinnerSELL0.09$1.95
08-01 19:12The Polymarket Classic: WinnerSELL0.09$5.85