pogispog
0xe90a1d76243084d9deeb3f049d8e2ce1102806b7
- Realised P&L
- $-402.89
- Volume
- $153.6k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.30at 0.214Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?
- +$65.35at 0.688Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$48.90at 0.670Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$30.28at 0.093Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.70at 0.182Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:37 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 06:37 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.239 | $7.17 |
| 08-02 21:27 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-02 17:56 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $13.75 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 16:58 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-02 16:58 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 16:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-01 19:27 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 08-01 19:23 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 08-01 19:20 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-01 19:16 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | SELL | 0.09 | $1.95 |
| 08-01 19:12 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | SELL | 0.09 | $5.85 |