chepincheff
0xea93fccda6001984d5b68e1ff739044a632856ae
- Realised P&L
- $67.06
- Volume
- $54.8k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No | 0.997 | 0.988 | $1.4k | −$13.03 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.013 | $27.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.66at 0.968Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$15.55at 0.012Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.51at 0.989Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$4.33at 0.998World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
- +$4.20at 0.996Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 17:50 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.968 | $1.4k |
| 07-04 19:02 | Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.9959918134 | $1.4k |
| 06-28 19:32 | Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.989 | $65.27 |
| 06-28 19:30 | Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.9885622626 | $1.3k |
| 06-25 18:16 | Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 06-17 19:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.4k |
| 06-15 21:12 | Will Trump say "World" during UFC 250? | BUY | 0.999 | $277.72 |
| 06-15 21:10 | Will the announcers say "UFC History" during UFC 250? | BUY | 0.998 | $278.64 |
| 06-15 21:09 | Will the announcers say "UFC History" during UFC 250? | BUY | 0.998852467 | $817.86 |
| 06-10 17:48 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-12.5) vs Leo Team (+12.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 06-10 17:47 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $349.65 |
| 06-10 17:47 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $349.65 |
| 06-09 21:14 | Will Mitchell Robinson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 06-09 21:11 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $329.67 |
| 06-09 21:11 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.997641844 | $281.34 |