PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Rafaelh7

0xeac66ebb505a871ca565ffd7d9a33e47a25b6cf8

Realised P&L
$606.79
Volume
$78.0k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$92.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8320.923$92.35+$9.18
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4490.000$0.00$10.00
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? · No0.1010.000$0.00$50.53
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5500.000$0.00$5.50
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$9.30
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.3800.000$0.00$19.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$30.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.4600.000$0.00$23.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$64.00
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$11.48
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.6600.000$0.00$20.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3470.000$0.00$34.75
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0200.000$0.00$10.00
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 · Over0.3860.000$0.00$33.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:02Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)BUY0.27$13.50
08-02 19:59SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5BUY0.35$35.00
07-29 16:29Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.47$23.50
07-22 23:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?SELL0.04$4.00
07-22 23:14Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?SELL0.038$3.80
07-22 23:14Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?SELL0.018$1.80
07-22 22:35Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.52$26.00
07-15 21:34Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$167.60
07-15 21:34Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$232.40
07-15 20:45England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.7875$39.38
07-15 20:45England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5SELL0.4925$24.63
07-15 19:07England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5475$27.38
07-12 00:40Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.57$34.20
07-10 20:51Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.9$90.00
07-10 20:51Spread: Spain (-1.5)SELL0.1410175553$14.10