Rafaelh7
0xeac66ebb505a871ca565ffd7d9a33e47a25b6cf8
- Realised P&L
- $606.79
- Volume
- $78.0k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $92.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.40at 0.143Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$149.20at 0.110Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$111.71at 0.203Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
- +$106.50at 0.290Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
- +$104.50at 0.303Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:02 | Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 08-02 19:59 | SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 07-29 16:29 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 07-22 23:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 23:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | SELL | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 07-22 23:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 07-22 22:35 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 07-15 21:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $167.60 |
| 07-15 21:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $232.40 |
| 07-15 20:45 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.7875 | $39.38 |
| 07-15 20:45 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.4925 | $24.63 |
| 07-15 19:07 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5475 | $27.38 |
| 07-12 00:40 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.57 | $34.20 |
| 07-10 20:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 07-10 20:51 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | SELL | 0.1410175553 | $14.10 |