elkmonkey
0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a
- Realised P&L
- $-70.9k
- Volume
- $217.04M
- Markets traded
- 13,449
- Open portfolio
- $43.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13,449
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.9kat 0.213Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$264.1kat 0.387Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$254.9kat 0.433Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
- +$202.6kat 0.364Chiefs vs. Cowboys
- +$191.9kat 0.140Nets vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 16:22 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.985 | $750.57 |
| 05-10 16:19 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.986 | $5.2k |
| 05-09 16:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.6k |
| 05-09 05:47 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.5k |
| 05-09 05:41 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.933 | $730.46 |
| 05-04 00:46 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4028797168 | $4.7k |
| 04-30 15:57 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.027707432 | $1.5k |
| 04-30 01:18 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.038 | $137.61 |
| 04-29 23:26 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.042 | $864.07 |
| 04-29 07:26 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.03070672 | $334.03 |
| 04-29 03:56 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0302127181 | $535.64 |
| 04-29 03:55 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.034 | $528.88 |
| 04-28 10:03 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 04:17 | Sabres vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.52 | $6.6k |
| 04-25 00:15 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $372.31 |