PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

staflos

0xeb7acdfb1d4b0eaefa7a336a6b4ee6b47242c291

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$81.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$615.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.3900.345$477.58$62.10
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes0.2540.160$138.16$81.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 11:57Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.3781734084$215.03
07-25 20:26Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.29$21.00
07-25 20:22Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.27$0.16
07-25 20:21Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.27$90.72
07-25 20:20Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.39$34.71
07-25 20:18Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.4$8.40
07-25 05:44Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.41$146.96
07-25 05:41Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.24$72.00
07-25 05:40Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.23$21.50
07-25 05:40Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.22$9.94
07-22 14:33Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?BUY0.9766327141$200.00
07-22 14:33Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?BUY0.9675104657$82.28
07-22 14:32Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.4$422.15
07-19 15:43Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999988$200.00
07-18 16:39Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.39$179.89