PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xec6b3bbda1551a1ec2fca79559720cb7f57797df

Realised P&L
$46.20
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$267.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · No0.0770.203$71.44+$44.31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.3600.435$42.85+$7.39
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.6250.615$20.61$0.33
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.7860.796$15.19+$0.19
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31? · No0.8900.865$14.08$0.41
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? · Yes0.6200.730$12.12+$1.83
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4290.559$10.95+$2.54
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.8490.925$8.94+$0.73
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.8080.897$8.49+$0.85
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? · No0.8600.895$6.25+$0.24
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · No0.1300.075$5.67$4.16
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes0.4700.515$5.35+$0.47
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? · Yes0.2610.462$4.99+$2.17
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? · No0.7070.943$4.00+$1.00
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? · No0.1600.165$3.76+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:33Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?SELL0.271$0.09
08-02 16:33Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?SELL0.271$0.09
08-02 11:17Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.6799999764$3.46
08-02 11:16Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.68$6.93
08-02 11:16Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-02 11:16Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.57$5.70
08-02 11:16Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.57$2.85
08-02 11:16Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
08-02 10:17Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-02 10:01Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
08-02 09:56Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?BUY0.2599998984$1.28
08-02 08:57Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.8669999428$1.00
08-02 08:57Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.8669999428$1.00
08-02 08:57Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.8669999428$1.00
08-02 08:50Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.08$1.50