0xec6b3bbda1551a1ec2fca79559720cb7f57797df
- Realised P&L
- $46.20
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $267.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.82at 0.742Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$4.86at 0.770Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?
- +$4.43at 0.240Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
- +$0.39at 0.981Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
- +$0.06at 0.170Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:33 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.271 | $0.09 |
| 08-02 16:33 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.271 | $0.09 |
| 08-02 11:17 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.6799999764 | $3.46 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.93 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 10:17 | Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 10:01 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 09:56 | Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? | BUY | 0.2599998984 | $1.28 |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.8669999428 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.8669999428 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.8669999428 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:50 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.50 |