amirio11
0xec8c877d7ccf646cf45ead8c9952b8e469ca8961
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $152.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.522Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.750Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$1.0kat 0.768Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$774.03at 0.330Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$720.00at 0.520Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 19:11 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $989.14 |
| 07-31 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999973 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 19:04 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 07-31 19:01 | Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.07 | $138.72 |
| 07-31 18:58 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.64 | $640.00 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.8838696667 | $265.16 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | SELL | 0.1228255 | $147.39 |
| 07-29 10:35 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.79 | $331.80 |
| 07-28 11:21 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.3495161429 | $244.66 |
| 07-28 11:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.751 | $266.61 |
| 07-27 14:46 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 07-27 06:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.0876431075 | $24.01 |
| 07-26 10:06 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.866 | $259.80 |
| 07-24 19:24 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $600.00 |