Shygirl101
0xeceff8018062835fae1b012d1d02e2d392b54551
- Realised P&L
- $-843.63
- Volume
- $128.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,665
- Open portfolio
- $209.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,665
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.02at 0.019Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$39.79at 0.714Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25?
- +$38.96at 0.879Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 29?
- +$38.48at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
- +$37.93at 0.345Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9587536134 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.9701968765 | $102.50 |
| 08-02 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8509281598 | $90.00 |
| 08-02 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $84.92 |
| 08-02 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9464646091 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9558823529 | $81.25 |
| 08-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.8960311856 | $182.74 |
| 08-01 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9628652706 | $90.00 |
| 08-01 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9052024211 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $196.31 |
| 07-31 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.9325073027 | $80.00 |
| 07-31 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.903120927 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $124.05 |
| 07-30 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.982 | $54.15 |
| 07-30 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.8053180547 | $100.00 |