PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

EducatedGuess69420

0xed49defb36f77e74912c0ff38d2667317bad8783

Realised P&L
$-45.3k
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$40.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5860.575$7.2k$137.07
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.7040.629$5.9k$693.19
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0570.049$4.3k$727.17
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6300.675$3.7k+$250.01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.093$3.5k+$2.2k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9000.855$2.8k$150.00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.025$2.6k$318.73
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.655$2.3k$193.66
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1580.065$2.2k$3.2k
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.8700.976$1.9k+$206.49
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0160.013$1.2k$361.99
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.7700.954$1.2k+$237.29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7200.805$820.65+$86.65
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0300.004$151.78$848.20
US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$72.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:02Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6296259499$330.09
08-02 07:00Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6209732575$300.00
08-02 06:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$640.00
08-02 00:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4899999559$4.00
07-31 06:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5199999996$505.00
07-31 06:24Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.5851195912$500.00
07-31 06:24Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.5715357713$400.00
07-31 06:23Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.9500033327$1.4k
07-31 06:13Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.5539997995$1.00
07-30 05:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5199999815$9.00
07-29 21:12Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.7456512948$2.0k
07-29 20:51Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.7422948622$3.0k
07-29 20:47US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$1.5k
07-29 20:47US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8999999998$3.0k
07-29 20:46US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999999$1000.00