PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Amslaw

0xed89619c4d79bca770fadae945afccb70656e266

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$236.8k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$731.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$413.29$213.48
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0320.030$318.63$13.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.1010.000$0.00$195.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 9-15? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$60.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9? · No0.0800.000$0.00$42.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? · No0.1100.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.3750.000$0.00$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$4.98
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$167.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.5900.000$0.00$10.76
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? · No0.0140.000$0.00$18.04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24? · Down0.1190.000$0.00$9.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in February? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$18.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 01:23Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0059999999$80.00
06-18 12:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?BUY0.0190000002$2.98
06-18 12:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?BUY0.0199560966$10.00
06-17 13:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?BUY0.0040828858$5.00
06-17 13:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17?BUY0.088168893$20.00
06-10 01:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
06-09 17:38Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ETBUY0.0599999946$10.00
06-09 17:19Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.031$299.71
06-09 14:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?BUY0.014$10.00
06-09 14:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?BUY0.014542324$5.00
06-09 13:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?BUY0.311999979$10.00
06-09 13:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?BUY0.3149999858$10.00
06-09 11:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?BUY0.015$3.04
06-04 15:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?SELL0.001$0.06
06-04 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?BUY0.2548103819$15.41