ogh1
0xee8a1de85971ca16d436921281c5163153f54fb2
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $200.8k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.952 | $3.3k | −$10.87 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.815 | $291.21 | −$8.79 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$677.92 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.662 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.640Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$722.41at 0.580Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
- +$639.96at 0.880France vs. England: France O/U 0.5
- +$619.90at 0.720Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
- +$571.43at 0.840Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:07 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9548055428 | $3.0k |
| 08-01 15:18 | Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.976 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 15:18 | Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.976 | $900.00 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9759837336 | $900.00 |
| 07-30 15:12 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.9778697579 | $2.9k |
| 07-30 14:57 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9530469529 | $300.00 |
| 07-30 14:56 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8394851158 | $300.00 |
| 07-20 14:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.932 | $3.3k |
| 07-19 21:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $2.1k |
| 07-19 21:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.3690218691 | $2.2k |
| 07-19 13:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $5.3k |
| 07-18 15:09 | France vs. England: France O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.88 | $4.7k |
| 07-18 15:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $381.29 |
| 07-15 12:56 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8925 | $3.9k |
| 07-14 13:26 | France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.925 | $3.5k |