PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ogh1

0xee8a1de85971ca16d436921281c5163153f54fb2

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$200.8k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9550.952$3.3k$10.87
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8390.815$291.21$8.79
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$300.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$200.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.9000.000$0.00$677.92
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No0.7600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00$700.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.6620.000$0.00$520.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:07Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9548055428$3.0k
08-01 15:18Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.976$1000.00
08-01 15:18Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.976$900.00
08-01 15:17Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.9759837336$900.00
07-30 15:12Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.9778697579$2.9k
07-30 14:57Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9530469529$300.00
07-30 14:56Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8394851158$300.00
07-20 14:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.932$3.3k
07-19 21:02Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.64$2.1k
07-19 21:02Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5SELL0.3690218691$2.2k
07-19 13:41Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.89$5.3k
07-18 15:09France vs. England: France O/U 0.5BUY0.88$4.7k
07-18 15:07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.591$381.29
07-15 12:56England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.8925$3.9k
07-14 13:26France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5BUY0.925$3.5k