PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

trandesiree

0xeedd8f76b78e37ee3d4c17b44aadb74c58e41bed

Realised P&L
$-22.62
Volume
$44.4k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$0.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0020.001$0.23$0.70
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0110.000$0.00$0.47
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00$0.77
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.17
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.20
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.09
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:30Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.002$0.94
08-02 18:30Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$96.81
07-20 15:53Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.999$96.90
07-11 14:41Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.994$95.42
07-07 04:37Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.994$95.42
07-04 21:11Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$98.31
06-17 21:31Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$98.41
06-14 03:36Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.993$97.31
06-03 13:55Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.993$97.31
05-29 04:52Iran closes its airspace by May 27?BUY0.999$94.91
03-09 19:23Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?BUY0.002$0.77
03-09 19:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.011$0.82
03-09 19:22Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.989$92.97
03-08 09:54Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.99$93.06
03-08 09:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.015$0.79