PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

carkiller530

0xef2f91f75d1878a09ecd42a376d084d3bc808b9c

Realised P&L
$11.8k
Volume
$210.6k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$41.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 22:58Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.14$39.13
03-28 14:50Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.82$2.9k
03-28 14:50Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4683422238$300.00
03-28 14:49Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5594057991$500.00
03-14 02:32Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5$500.00
03-10 14:59Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.634354876$800.00
03-05 03:18Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2285901222$129.87
03-05 03:17Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7456572918$100.00
03-05 03:17Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8279124701$100.00
03-05 01:34Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8035320102$200.00
03-05 01:33Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.87$528.85
03-04 17:04Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.8299999998$264.30
03-04 17:03Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8333825918$200.00
03-04 17:02Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6260001839$1.2k
02-27 19:37Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5945572043$1.9k