PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PythiaSnr

0xef98c81d560325c8a57b9f63adc8ba5cda78b586

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$2.14M
Markets traded
17,144
Open portfolio
$96.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17,144
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:29Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.05$0.50
08-03 01:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4?SELL0.04$1.16
08-02 23:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?SELL0.329072$16.45
08-02 23:27Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.04$2.20
08-02 22:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.06$3.00
08-02 21:26Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 3?SELL0.04$1.47
08-02 20:32Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.05$0.04
08-02 19:50Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.14$7.70
08-02 18:08Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?SELL0.07$3.85
08-02 18:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.29$5.59
08-02 17:53Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.02$1.25
08-02 16:52Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?SELL0.0514545455$2.83
08-02 16:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?SELL0.05$2.75
08-02 16:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.02$2.00
08-02 14:58Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.1213513514$4.49