PythiaSnr
0xef98c81d560325c8a57b9f63adc8ba5cda78b586
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $2.14M
- Markets traded
- 17,144
- Open portfolio
- $96.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17,144
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.40at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 17?
- +$49.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 18?
- +$38.80at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 19?
- +$33.95at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on May 19?
- +$26.78at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-03 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.16 |
| 08-02 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.329072 | $16.45 |
| 08-02 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.70 |
| 08-02 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.85 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.59 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0514545455 | $2.83 |
| 08-02 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.75 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1213513514 | $4.49 |