macrosteaks
0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
- Realised P&L
- $17.3k
- Volume
- $15.45M
- Markets traded
- 10,977
- Open portfolio
- $105.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,977
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.9kat 0.113Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$19.0kat 0.333Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.2kat 0.508Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?
- +$13.9kat 0.192Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$11.0kat 0.450US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:36 | Will the Baltimore Orioles clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.16 |
| 08-02 23:32 | Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 08-02 23:26 | Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.1601 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 23:25 | Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-02 23:25 | Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.77 | $8.47 |
| 08-02 23:18 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.807999964 | $17.78 |
| 08-02 23:18 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.8209999934 | $13.96 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.821 | $8.21 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.8219999926 | $11.51 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.8219999989 | $107.68 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.42 |
| 08-02 23:10 | Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.75 |
| 08-02 23:09 | Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will Becky Hammon win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? | BUY | 0.945 | $68.04 |