Lafayette.eth
0xefbda964b1786c7b5cb43355fcddd94d0b219430
- Realised P&L
- $-3.34
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $21.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.265 | $21.02 | −$5.68 |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by October 31? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.59 |
| Will Solana reach $100 February 16-22? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.12 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.41at 0.540Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$23.15at 0.609Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$11.67at 0.550Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$2.67at 0.150Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.36at 0.470Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 09:10 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0157905534 | $1.78 |
| 05-24 09:09 | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.06 |
| 02-19 16:33 | Will Solana reach $100 February 16-22? | BUY | 0.0245145631 | $2.02 |
| 02-19 16:33 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.56 |
| 01-23 14:59 | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3366336561 | $30.00 |
| 01-23 14:58 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2214803835 | $30.00 |
| 01-22 13:53 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.03 |
| 01-20 14:04 | Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2899999681 | $6.00 |
| 01-15 17:30 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9489997049 | $1.00 |
| 01-15 16:43 | Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 01-15 16:43 | Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 01-15 16:42 | Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3902439024 | $10.00 |
| 12-01 17:43 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? | BUY | 0.9539999987 | $16.52 |
| 11-25 16:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 11-22 14:44 | Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? | BUY | 0.1479999886 | $10.00 |