PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lafayette.eth

0xefbda964b1786c7b5cb43355fcddd94d0b219430

Realised P&L
$-3.34
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$21.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.3370.265$21.02$5.68
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Opensea launch a token by October 31? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$28.59
Will Solana reach $100 February 16-22? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.02
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1230.000$0.00$29.12
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 09:10Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0157905534$1.78
05-24 09:09Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?SELL0.21$2.06
02-19 16:33Will Solana reach $100 February 16-22?BUY0.0245145631$2.02
02-19 16:33Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.13$1.56
01-23 14:59Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?BUY0.3366336561$30.00
01-23 14:58Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2214803835$30.00
01-22 13:53No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.98$1.03
01-20 14:04Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.2899999681$6.00
01-15 17:30No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.9489997049$1.00
01-15 16:43Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7799999979$30.00
01-15 16:43Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.189999988$10.00
01-15 16:42Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.3902439024$10.00
12-01 17:43Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?BUY0.9539999987$16.52
11-25 16:09Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?BUY0.006$10.00
11-22 14:44Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?BUY0.1479999886$10.00