0xF06B7104971b133fFf158efDA461fcb938164c6D-1767585358645
0xf06b7104971b133fff158efda461fcb938164c6d
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $75.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.015 | $75.01 | −$466.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up | 0.151 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.420US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$79.33at 0.540US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$39.51at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$14.32at 0.440Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$14.22at 0.797Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 03:30 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $213.81 |
| 05-27 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $11.15 |
| 05-27 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.3296526055 | $5.31 |
| 05-27 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 23:24 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.09 | $77.16 |
| 05-26 00:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 00:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.197409981 | $25.00 |
| 05-25 23:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.8330443304 | $144.51 |
| 05-25 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6109837118 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 23:49 | Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 05-23 23:44 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.12 | $11.09 |
| 05-23 23:42 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |